Corn flea beetle and Stewart's wilt predictions for 2007

 

Mike Hoffmann & Jeffrey Gardner, Dept. of Entomology, Cornell University, Ithaca.

John Gibbons, Ontario Co.  CCE

 

Stewart's wilt is an important disease of sweet corn in New York.  The disease is caused by a bacterial pathogen that is vectored almost exclusively by the corn flea beetle.  The bacteria overwinter in the gut of adult flea beetles.   In the spring, beetles infest early plantings of corn and transmit the pathogen to the plant by feeding and defecating on leaves.   Stewart's wilt is characterized by development of conspicuous streaks on the leaves and stalk due to plugging of vascular tissue.  Early wilt infections cause reduction of yield in susceptible varieties by reducing stands due to death or stunting of infected seedlings.  Seedlings, which survive early infections, remain stunted, tassel prematurely, and frequently produce no ears or nubbins.  Disease severity is aggravated by high temperatures, which causes faster development and movement of the bacteria through the infected plants.

Corn flea beetles spend the winter as adults near the soil surface in grassy areas in and around cornfields.  Severe winter temperatures can kill most of the population and result in a very low incidence of Stewart's wilt disease the following summer.  Thus, a winter temperature index is used to predict the likelihood of Stewart's wilt problems.  One forecast uses the number of months with mean temperatures above 24F for December, January, and February.  The Stewart's wilt index (likelihood of wilt problems) is as follows:

 

Iowa State method

Number of months ³ 24° F

Predicted risk

0

Negligible

1

Low to moderate

2

Moderate to high

3

High

 

 

 

2007 forecast:

The winter of 2006-2007 was a moderate winter, and the Iowa model predicts moderate to high risk throughout much of NY.  Risk maps can be accessed at http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/grass/stewart_maps.html. The model does not account for the number of beetles entering the winter, the number of surviving beetles that actually carry the pathogen, or the effect of varietal susceptibility.  Despite these knowledge gaps the model has done well in predicting relative incidence of Stewart’s wilt.

 

Management options for Stewart's wilt disease control include:

1) planting resistant varieties

2) planting with treated seed for susceptible varieties

3) applying a foliar insecticide spray if needed to protect seedling corn.

 

 

Tabulated risk of Stewart’s wilt for many locations in NY:

 

 

 

Average °F

 

 

 

Station

County

Dec

Jan

Feb

IA Count

Risk

ADDISON

STEUBEN

35.9

28.1

15.5

2

mod-high

ALBANY

ALBANY

35.2

27.4

19.4

2

mod-high

Albion*

ORLEANS

37.2

28.6

19.1

2

mod-high

ALCOVE DAM

ALBANY

34.9

27.6

17.6

2

mod-high

ANGELICA

ALLEGANY

35.4

26.8

15.4

2

mod-high

Appleton, North

NIAGARA

35.4

27.9

19.4

2

mod-high

Appleton, South

NIAGARA

37.7

29.6

19.8

2

mod-high

Arkport

STEUBEN

35.7

27.5

16.4

2

mod-high

AUBURN

CAYUGA

36.8

27.8

17.2

2

mod-high

AVON

LIVINGSTON

37.6

28.5

18

2

mod-high

BAINBRIDGE

CHENANGO

34.4

26.8

16.3

2

mod-high

Batavia

GENESEE

36

27.5

17.6

2

mod-high

BATH

STEUBEN

35.9

26.9

15.7

2

mod-high

BINGHAMTON

BROOME

35.3

27

18.2

2

mod-high

BLOOMINGBURG

SULLIVAN

36.3

29.5

18.7

2

mod-high

BOONVILLE

ONEIDA

29.7

19.2

10.7

1

low-mod

Branchport

YATES

36.5

28.2

18.4

2

mod-high

 

 

 

Average °F

 

 

 

Station

County

Dec

Jan

Feb

IA Count

Risk

BRIDGEHAMPTON

SUFFOLK

42.9

37.4

28.1

3

high

BUFFALO

ERIE

37.2

28.9

18.6

2

mod-high

CAIRO

GREENE

35.2

28.7

20.3

2

mod-high

CAMDEN

ONEIDA

34

22.8

13.7

1

low-mod

CANTON

ST. LAWRENCE

33.2

16.5

11.1

1

low-mod

CARMEL

PUTNAM

37.5

29.8

21.6

2

mod-high

CHEMUNG

CHEMUNG

35.4

28.4

17.8

2

mod-high

COBLESKILL

SCHOHARIE

35.4

26

16

2

mod-high

CONSTANTIA

OSWEGO

34

23.4

15.4

1

low-mod

COOPERSTOWN

OTSEGO

38.1

27.4

16.5

2

mod-high

CORNING

STEUBEN

35.5

27.7

15.8

2

mod-high

DANSVILLE

LIVINGSTON

38.3

29.8

20.2

2

mod-high

DANSVILLE

LIVINGSTON

37.6

29

17.4

2

mod-high

DELHI

DELAWARE

34.1

27.1

16.8

2

mod-high

DUNKIRK

CHAUTAUQUA

38.8

28.9

19.9

2

mod-high

EAST JEWETT

GREENE

32.4

26

14.8

2

mod-high

EAST SIDNEY

DELAWARE

34.7

26.4

16

2

mod-high

Elba

GENESEE

34.5

25.9

16.5

2

mod-high

ELLENBURG DEPOT

CLINTON

29.6

18

11.2

1

low-mod

ELMIRA

CHEMUNG

35.7

28.8

17.4

2

mod-high

ELMIRA

CHEMUNG

35.9

28.2

18.2

2

mod-high

FARMINGDALE

SUFFOLK

41.5

36.1

27.8

3

high

Farmington

ONTARIO

37.5

29

19.3

2

mod-high

FRANKLINVILLE

CATTARAUGUS

34.3

26.2

15

2

mod-high

Fredonia

CHAUTAUQUA

38.7

31.3

20.2

2

mod-high

FULTON

OSWEGO

35.3

25.7

17

2

mod-high

Gainesville

WYOMING

34.1

26.2

15.5

2

mod-high

Geneva

ONTARIO

36.8

28.4

18.8

2

mod-high

GENEVA

ONTARIO

37.2

27.8

17.2

2

mod-high

GLENS FALLS

WARREN

32.6

24

15.6

2

mod-high

Groveland

LIVINGSTON

37.1

29.1

19.2

2

mod-high

HIGHMARKET

LEWIS

28

17.1

8.9

1

low-mod

Himrod

YATES

37.4

29.7

19.7

2

mod-high

HONEOYE

ONTARIO

38.2

29.1

18.5

2

mod-high

HOOKER

LEWIS

32

20.4

12.9

1

low-mod

HORNELL

STEUBEN

34

25.8

14.7

2

mod-high

ISLIP

SUFFOLK

41.1

35.9

27.3

3

high

ITHACA

TOMPKINS

36.2

28.2

16.4

2

mod-high

JAMESTOWN

CHAUTAUQUA

36.1

29.4

15.5

2

mod-high

Lansing

TOMPKINS

37.6

29.8

20.3

2

mod-high

LANSING MANOR

SCHOHARIE

36.7

27.9

18.6

2

mod-high

LOCK

CAUYGA

33.6

25.2

13.9

2

mod-high

Lockport

NIAGARA

37.9

29.5

19.9

2

mod-high

LOWVILLE

LEWIS

32.1

19.4

12

1

low-mod

LYNDONVILLE

ORLEANS

36.1

28.5

16.2

2

mod-high

MALONE

FRANKLIN

30.3

16.8

9.3

1

low-mod

MASSENA

OTSEGO

30.5

19.1

11.2

1

low-mod

MECKLENBURG

SCHUYLER

35.1

26.9

16.1

2

mod-high

MONTGOMERY

ORANGE

36.8

30.9

22.4

2

mod-high

MORRISVILLE

MADISON

32.9

24

14

2

mod-high

NEW ALBION

CATTARAUGUS

33.6

26.3

13.8

2

mod-high

NEWCOMB

ESSEX

28.2

17

10.4

1

low-mod

NORWICH

CHENANGO

35.2

26.3

15.3

2

mod-high

OCEANSIDE

NASSAU

43.6

38

29.1

3

high

 

 

 

Average °F

 

 

 

Station

County

Dec

Jan

Feb

IA Count

Risk

OLEAN

CATTARAUGUS

36

28.7

17.2

2

mod-high

ONEONTA

OTSEGO

37.2

31.2

21.6

2

mod-high

Pavilion

GENESEE

35.3

26.7

17.1

2

mod-high

PENN YAN

YATES

37.2

29

19.5

2

mod-high

PISECO

HAMILTON

30.2

19.4

10.8

1

low-mod

PLATTE CLOVE

GREENE

34.2

25.9

16.9

2

mod-high

PLATTSBURGH

CLINTON

32.2

20

14.2

1

low-mod

Potter

YATES

35.7

28

18.1

2

mod-high

POUGHKEEPSIE

DUTCHESS

39.9

33

24

2

mod-high

POUGHKEEPSIE

DUTCHESS

37.6

31.5

23.1

2

mod-high

Prattsburg

STEUBEN

34.4

26.8

16.3

2

mod-high

RHINEBECK

DUTCHESS

36.7

30.5

20.9

2

mod-high

ROCHESTER

MONROE

39

30

20.3

2

mod-high

ROCK HILL

SULLIVAN

35.6

28.5

18.8

2

mod-high

ROSENDALE

ULSTER

39.4

30.5

24

2

mod-high

SARANAC

FRANKLIN

27.4

15

8.5

1

low-mod

Savannah

GENESEE

37.2

29.1

19.8

2

mod-high

SHERBURNE

CHENANGO

34.9

26.1

16.9

2

mod-high

SHIRLEY

CHENANGO

40.7

35.5

26.7

3

high

SILVER CREEK

CHAUTAUQUA

39.2

33.8

20.1

2

mod-high

SLIDE MOUNTAIN

ULSTER

31.8

23.6

13

1

low-mod

Sodus

WAYNE

36.3

27.5

18

2

mod-high

SPENCER

TIOGA

35.2

27.2

16.5

2

mod-high

STORMVILLE

DUTCHESS

37.3

30.7

21.1

2

mod-high

STUYVESANT

COLUMBIA

36.9

28.7

20.3

2

mod-high

SYRACUSE

ONONDAGA

38.6

28.8

19

2

mod-high

THURSTON

STEUBEN

35.7

27.9

15.7

2

mod-high

TROY

RENSSELAER

37.8

26.6

19.7

2

mod-high

TULLY

CORTLAND

32.2

24.6

13.5

2

mod-high

TUPPER

FRANKLIN

29.7

16.9

8.6

1

low-mod

Valois

SCHUYLER

38

29.9

19.8

2

mod-high

WALES

ERIE

35.2

26.9

15.6

2

mod-high

WARSAW

WYOMING

33.4

24.3

13.8

2

mod-high

WATERTOWN

JEFFERSON

34.8

22.5

13.8

1

low-mod

WAVERLY

TIOGA

37.2

29.9

18.5

2

mod-high

Wayland

STEUBEN

35.2

27.2

16.7

2

mod-high

WELLSVILLE

ALLEGANY

34.8

26.6

15.1

2

mod-high

WELLSVILLE

ALLEGANY

33.4

26.2

15.1

2

mod-high

WEST NYACK

ROCKLAND

30

19.1

9.6

1

low-mod

WEST POINT

ORANGE

39.7

32.8

23.4

2

mod-high

WHITE PLAINS

WESTCHESTER

40.5

34.9

25.6

3

high

WHITEHALL

WASHINGTON

28.3

19.8

15.7

1

low-mod

WHITNEY POINT

BROOME

35.4

28

15.8

2

mod-high

Williamson

WAYNE

36.9

28.7

19.3

2

mod-high

YOUNGSTOWN

NIAGARA

38

31.4

19.3

2

mod-high

* Stations in lower case represent Network for Environment and Weather Awareness stations.